Interesting commentary on the Guardian's interview with Pakistan's Maj. Gen. Mahmud Durrani about a peaceful resolution of the conflict between his country and India. Abiola Lapite is pessimistic about the prospects for a settlement despite Durrani's conciliatory tone, given the asymmetry of the subcontinent's dispute:
The brutal reality is that Pakistan needs peace a lot more than India does - the military burden is heavier for the Pakistanis than it is for the Indians, and the benefits of restored trade links would be much greater proportionally for the Pakistanis than it would be for an India that is already growing quite nicely; then there is the negative fallout from the ongoing revelations about Pakistan's nuclear proliferation activities to consider. India holds all the cards, and the sort of surrender that Musharraf's government would need to undertake for the sake of peace would be too much for him to go along with and stay alive - not that his days aren't already numbered as they are. In any case, even if Musharraf were willing to play the martyr for peace, it is almost a certainty that any new Pakistani government would simply break off talks and resume the Kashmiri "jihad."
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